The Verdict
Nottingham Forest at 2.55 is the market's pick and the fundamentals support it. Porto at 3.33 only makes sense if you believe their recent trajectory is shifting.
Best bet: Nottingham Forest to win at 2.55
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Thursday 16 April at 19:00 | Europa League
Nottingham Forest sit 13th in the Europa League on 14 points. Their visitors Porto are 5th on 17. Nottingham Forest's recent form reads WLWWD. Porto come in with WDWWD.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Nottingham Forest | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 5th |
| Points | 14 | 17 |
| Record | 4W 2D 2L | 5W 2D 1L |
| Goals Scored | 15 (1.9/game) | 13 (1.6/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 7 (0.9/game) | 7 (0.9/game) |
| Goal Difference | +8 | +6 |
| xG | 25.6 (1.97/game) | 18.6 (1.69/game) |
| xGA | 11 (0.85/game) | 9.6 (0.87/game) |
| Form | WLWWD | WDWWD |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest Win | 2.55 | 39% | 2.53 | 41% |
| Draw | 3.26 | 31% | 3.20 | 31% |
| Porto Win | 3.33 | 30% | 3.41 | 31% |
Based on 50 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Nottingham Forest.
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