The Verdict
With 51 bookmakers unable to separate these two, the draw at 3.34 (30% implied) deserves serious consideration. Mallorca have outscored their xG by 4.9 goals this season. That clinical edge is unsustainable — the goals will slow down.
Best bet: Draw at 3.34
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Tuesday 21 April at 17:00 | La Liga
Mallorca sit 15th in the La Liga on 34 points. Their visitors Valencia are 14th on 35. Mallorca's recent form reads WWLWD. Valencia come in with LLWLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Mallorca | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 14th |
| Points | 34 | 35 |
| Record | 9W 7D 15L | 9W 8D 14L |
| Goals Scored | 39 (1.3/game) | 34 (1.1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 48 (1.5/game) | 46 (1.5/game) |
| Goal Difference | -9 | -12 |
| xG | 37.1 (1.24/game) | 40.7 (1.36/game) |
| xGA | 46.9 (1.56/game) | 32.3 (1.08/game) |
| Form | WWLWD | LLWLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca Win | 2.63 | 38% | 2.62 | 39% |
| Draw | 3.34 | 30% | 3.31 | 30% |
| Valencia Win | 3.12 | 32% | 3.16 | 33% |
Based on 51 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Mallorca.
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